The press, social media vibe, and energy has shifted from Trump to Harris, but the polling shows that if the election were held today, Trump would win the electoral college by a landslide and lose the popular vote.
If this holds, it would mean that in 2000, 2016, and 2024 the Republicans won the election despite losing the popular vote. Only one time the Republicans win the election AND a majority of the votes this century, 2004.
What amazes me is how this dynamic is just accepted. This is not a well functioning democracy.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
How did a fight over the politics of who leads NPR lead to arguments that Signal’s encryption is somehow suspect?
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/may/18/npr-elon-musk-signal?CMP=share_btn_url
I find such debates somewhat useful. They can indicate people with reasoning I find poor, and help recognise reurgi-thinkers who don't seem to form their own opinions.
Signal's insistence on mobile phone numbers falls foul of my threat model, so I don't use it. I do feel their crypto is good though. (They told me years ago they were going to do away with the need for mobile numbers. Crickets.)
A couple of thoughts triggered by that. (Not organised as a narrative.)
🧠 The population collapses are well advanced and may not be stopped.
🧠 Japan may turn out to have handled it very well, time will tell.
🧠 I hear that China may have embarked on the worst collapse yet.
🧠 In calculating kids I suggest looking at a single generation only (getting 2.1 kids though!). Betting on an unknown future may be unwise.
🧠 There is talk of ecological overshoot, I don't know enough to model and estimate that (yet), but I see counter measures in the rewilding movements. If those ideas are meaningful, then the demographic transition might save the planet.
🧠 I've seen many talk about the problem but not about plausible solutions. The automation in the Ukraine War suggests that we now have the power to automate cheaply, that will play a role.
🧠 Conventional government economics, and many "models" of society, sometimes seem intent on kicking the can down the road.
(If this doesn't publish right, its my first Nostr post, I will learn!)
2024-04-14 16:26:57 Getting started with Nostr using the Gossip client.
1. I tested a couple of command line tools to use Nostr. Some didn't work for me but learned some concepts.
2. Modified configuration details.
3. Installed Gossip client on a Windows 11 machine and got it started. Entered configuration details.
4. Picked a single account to follow.
5. Now exploring how the system and UI work.
✅