Avatar
ZeroKnowledge
9af523ccfa82eed41e3c6a60cc4dddffc740c0edf354872c8e1bdd3925f71654

this reminds of when Kant said:

thoughts without content are empty, intuitions without concepts are blind

who would have it any other way long term?

it’s been a good day learning about slices

Government is for they/them, Bitcoin is for we/us

Good morning! 🌞

are there any real differences between politics and economics?

There is a publication of 100 physicists telling Einstein that his theory of relativity was wrong. I wasn’t able to understand the physics enough when I actually tried reading it, but I imagine the crux of the dissenter’s argument is, “Einstein, if you’re correct, then that means that nearly all that we thought that we knew about physics is wrong.”

I do empathize with the dissenters. They have a huge challenge as there are now two paradigms. The “old” and the “new”. At a period of transition, one can, in theory, choose to adopt a new paradigm, but adopting a new paradigm isn’t taught in schools. Maybe “adopting a new paradigm” cannot be taught in schools? If one continues to adopt the assumptions of the old paradigm (and ignores its anomalies) one can continue to be correct according to the old paradigm. However, when two the paradigms become incompatible, the one that is “more true”, will win over time. It is never the case that a new paradigm is less true than the old, otherwise it could not have replaced the incumbent. Also, it goes to show that one should always be open to most of their ideas being wrong.

It is said that the greatest scientific discovery of all time was the discovery of ignorance. Similarly, the greatest political discovery of all time will be the discovery of ignorance

0-knowledge

has anybody ese had the experience that after understanding bitcoin, many other ideas seem unimaginative at best and just plain wrong at worst? It’s made it harder for me to enjoy such a large portion of pop culture

Was a very good day. Got some good studying done and got a massage too

It’s a great day to catch up with an old friend :)

Replying to Avatar Sjors Provoost

So the first half of Nexus is a great read. But it immediately falls of a cliff in Part II. That's where Yuval the historian is replaced by Yuval the trendwatcher.

In Part I he clearly illustrates how the witch hunt insanity was made possible by the printing press, without any algorithm involved. Then in Part II he considers the role of Facebook algorithms in the Myanmar genocide. He uses this to illustrate how AI changed the game, because for the time a non-human intelligence decided to promote one thing and not another thing. But how is that different from the non-human intelligence of market forces in the Middle Ages that spread the Hammer of Witches?

But it gets worse a few pages later, though maybe I'm just being my usual hardcore AI boomer... He cites a safety study where ChatGBT tricked a human worker on Task Rabbit into solving a captcha: "No human taught GBT-4 to lie". Uhh, it read Shakespeare. I'm not at all surprised or worried that an LLM, when given the right prompt, can predict which sentences are likely to trick a human into providing a certain answer.

"But once the algorithm adopted these goal, they displayed considerable autonomy in deciding how to achieve them" - this is an incredibly naive view of what an LLM does, and the specific example is an unnecessarily complex explanation of its behavior than simply rehashing literature on the art of tricking humans.

After that I skimmed through the rest of the book, might give it a longer read later for the interesting historical anecdotes. But it just seems to install magical properties on AI and goes into far too speculative territory for my taste.

Oh and then he talks about "blockchain", yikes:

> Some people believe that blockchain could provide a technological check on such totalitarian tendencies, because blockchain is inherently friendly to democracy and hostile to totalitarianism.

(there's no footnote here, so I have no idea who these "some people" are...)

> In a blockchain systeem, decision require the approval of 51% per cent users. That may sound democratic, but blockchain technology has a fatal flat. The problem lies with the word 'users'. If one person has ten account, she count as ten users.

You just described a sybil attack, congrats...

> If a government controls 51 per cent of accounts, then the government constitutes 51 per cent of the users. There are already examples of blockchain networks where a government is 51 per cent of users.[7]

I'll screenshot the footnote for it...

> And when a government is 51 per cent of users in a blockchain, it has control not just over the chain's present but even over its past.

Sure, I'll ignore the nonsense metric of "users" and assume he meant hash power. A 51% government attack is potentially bad, but tell me why...

> Autocrats have always wanted the power to change the past. [historical anecdotes about altering various historical records]

So they could break OpenTimeStamps, which is a nice to have feature. How is this a "fatal flaw"? This is just trend-watcher gibberish.

http://www.ynharari.com/book/nexus/

Thanks for the review. I’ve shared similar sentiments. I believe that Harari has done his historical research, however the lack of knowledge and/or imagination with regards to technology and the future is off putting.