They do with most people

Jake Paul and Logan Paul act like clowns but they’re smart af. They know how to grab attention and stay relevant.

What has life done to you to give such sad statements?

Bitcoin adoption scenarios.

Imagine that we are back in 2008, reading Satoshi's Bitcoin whitepaper. We attempt to predict what the future holds for Bitcoin and we imagine a number of possible scenarios. We assign probabilities to them and describe what each of them will look like in terms of adoption, users, etc.

They range from INTERNET scenario that predicts Bitcoin will follow a tech adoption S-curve to a FAIL scenario that expects Bitcoin, like most of new projects, to never take off.

With 2008 knowledge... you would probably have assigned a very large probability to FAIL, maybe up to 90%. But even if the INTERNET scenario only had a 1% probability... as Hal Finney quickly saw, the risk-reward for owning some Bitcoin was incredibly positive. The rational decision was to mine/buy some "in case it takes off" even with very little knowledge.

Now let's fast forward to the 2013 Bitcoin bubble. The price has risen to $1000+. There are maybe over 1 million Bitcoin users. We can look back at the original scenarios and adjust probabilities. The FAIL scenario, which had 90% probability now has to be completely discarded. The adoption and price action could now indicate a higher probability for the TULIP or BETAMAX scenarios... or maybe you still think that government will shut down Bitcoin like it did with E-GOLD and so assign a 60% probability to that scenario. However given the evidence at that point... you do have to raise the probability of INTERNET to at least 3%. With a 3% probability of multiplying value by millions... once more the rational decision is to have a greater than zero amount of Bitcoin.

Now imagine that you are in 2017. Bitcoin is at $20k. What probability would you assign to each scenario with the information that you had then?

How about in 2021? 2024?

What's happiness? 🤔 ♥️🎨

Happiness is a deep and complex state of mind, difficult to define in a single way.

For many, happiness represents an inner balance, a feeling of fulfillment and serenity that comes from being in harmony with oneself and the world.

It’s not merely a fleeting emotion, like temporary joy, but rather an enduring condition built through meaning, authentic relationships, the pursuit of goals, and gratitude.

Happiness can have different meanings for each of us: for some, it lies in personal and professional achievement; for others, in love, family, or feeling part of a community. There are also moments of happiness linked to discovery, experiencing beauty, connecting with nature, or enjoying art.

Finally, happiness is also the ability to welcome and accept moments of difficulty, recognizing that they’re part of life and can teach us something. In a way, it’s a subtle art: learning to find light in small things, to live each moment fully.

For me, happiness is love and art. ♥️🎨

The only people using transparent blockchains are governments so we can see how they spend our money.

Everyone else should be using a non transparent blockchain to avoid being constantly monitored.

"If we don't have free speech, then we just don't have a free country." Donald J. Trump. 2024.

Engrave these words in stone. Once they reach power, they will be the first to forget.

Remember the Alien and Sedition Acts

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alien_and…

The same revolutionaries that wrote the Bill of Rights attacked free speech a few years later.

#timeline #history simple

Bitcoin Scenario analysis for 2024-2028-2032 progression.

Based on 2 metrics: user adoption and regulatory acceptance.

4 scenarios. Codenamed:

S1. America

S2. Argentina

S3. China

S4. Europe

Installed #Obtanium. Uninstalled #Amethyst. Added Amethyst to Obtanium and installed. Signed into Amethyst using #Amber. Very slick. I'm completely over app stores. Even the free ones. It was a broken, inefficient model which failed from the outset to deliver on the promises of superior quality and choice made by the corporate overlords. It's time it died.

If this survey is true, marxist decels will be completely in charge in 10-15 years.

Better build an ark before it rains.

I am aware of the first problem and I note that Rene Pickhardt tried to perform this attack in 2019 with little success. He tried to take a snapshot of the balances of all routing nodes on testnet, and while he did manage to do it, it took him over 9 hours to do so. It would be an even harder task on mainnet due to the larger number of routing nodes.

Since lightning has high volume, I think you wouldn't get good days about the history of transfers on LN unless you could get snapshots of routing node balances every few seconds, rather than once per day or so.

Nonetheless, Rene did find that while it takes a long time to probe the balances of*every node,* each *individual* node only takes about 20 seconds to probe. So if you looked your attack to a single largr routing node you could probably get reasonably good data about what traffic it routes across the network.

Also, the Blinded Paths upgrade mitigates this attack. Part of the plan for Blinded Paths is to remove the distinct error messages revealed by nodes depending on whether the payment made it to its destination or had a routing failure part of the way through. With Blinded Paths, the same error message is displayed for every payment failure, which means Balance Probing as performed by Rene won't work anymore. His technique involved sending multiple fake payments through a routing node and logging whether they failed due to the routing node not having enough capacity or the recipient being unable to finalize the payment. If the latter, it meant the routing node *did* have enough capacity to forward that payment, so Rene would try again and again with larger and larger fake payments until the routing node reported an inability to forward the money, then record the prior amount of the fake payment as their latest balance. This method relies on does not work if all payment failures look the same, so the Blinded Paths upgrade should fix this.

Its all with lightning

The Bitcoin community has a really difficult time with acknowledging problems, because they are so bullish. This leads to stagnation of londstanding issues because they have convinced themselves the problem is already solved by repeating certain phrases. I literally think Bitcoin is revolutionary, but Jesus Christ people, we have to admit there is a problem before we can solve them.

would be cool

Usually microblog apps would have a translation button for each message. That is helpful, should something appear in your timeline that you dont understand.

Having translation for everything, even where i dont need it, feels intrusive and it annoyed me. Maybe my problem is that i can read Dutch English German and French. So in many cases i dont need translations at all.

Amethyst translates automatically, one of my favorite things about that client! Great for scrolling # introductions and seeing which countries people are flowing in from. Hopefully this is added to other clients soon

Cool learning from this spammer: if the nostr client downloads and stores the spam event locally and the relay deletes later, the client doesnt get any notice it was deleted and must develop it's own ways to clear the local database out of it.

Same for local relays, like Citrine. Once it gets there, Citrine doesn't have a good way to remove it. The client will just be getting the spam event over and over again.

So, you are proposing that the original poster can censor all replies he/she doesn't like. That's def not good.