The USA Macro Economic Model Series: Episode 1: Why the Heck do you need a Macro Economic Model?

Is the USA economy actually growing if you measure everything in barrels of oil or Tesla’s?

How huge is the debt and why is it unstustainable? The numbers please!

What happens with the consumers, the profits of Mainstreet businesses if there is a huge debt crisis and the economy contracts with 5% and unemployment increases with 7% in 5 years?

Will rasing the tarifs backfire and explode in the faces of the ones that raise tarifs and why you will ultimately pay for it?

And finally: what happens if the USA adopts the Bitcoin Treasury Policy of Micheal Saylor, like Microstrategy did?

All big questions you cannot normally answer! The USA economy is the largest economy in the world, but there is nobody explaining how it works to you.

I’m a macro economist. And I have already created 12 macro economic models of 12 countries in the world. I have trained senior policy advisors of huge countries like Namibia, Kenyia, Zambia, and also small countries like Suriname, Turks and Caicos, Jamaica, Aruba and Sint Lucia.

Why would you care?

Because with these macro economic models you get a feeling of :

- the numbers, how big, how small

- the trends om the numbers, is it increasing or decreasing and how much?

- how key economic processes work: what happens to unemployment when inflation cannot be controlled by the Federal Reserve?

- How it affects you: what is the purchasing power of the average American going?

- what could happen if something happens: what if we raise the tarifs on China or Europe with say 100%?

Spoiler alert: it will hurt you badly!

How can we create such a model? What are the steps?

It is not easy to pull it off to create a macro economic model! Not many can do that! Yes, you could create a simple spreadsheet with some basic formulas that work on each other.

But creating a fully functional macro economic model is different game.

Especially if you want ordinary people like you reading this, with no Phd in mathemactics and Economics, like my mentor dr Van Schaaijk, -retired - to use it, understand it.

Especially if you want to democratize and decentralize the economic discussion, like what I’m about to do!!

Yes: I don’t want you to sit and watch the Federal Reserve Board talk about how they are monitoring inflation and why they cut interest rates by 0.25 percent.

I want you to grab that USA economic model - a spreadsheet - and gather some 5 of your friends, business partners or your family around a table, hook that hdmi cable into that screen you normally watch Netflix on and say: Hey what does this chart tell me?

Ohhh that is M2, the Supply of currency? Wow is that how it is growing?

Where is the source, click here. Yes. Ok this guy Runy did not create these numbers. They come from the FED website.

Ok. Why is this going up?

And what if we increase this with say another 4 trillion here in this year?

Lets do that, click! Oh look at that! That inflation! Oh consumption now going down!

I want you to be able to do that!!!

Why?

Because I care about you. Your education. And educating yourself is the only way I know you can maintain your wealth and grow your wealth.

How I’m going to do it!

I’m going to do it like this:

I will write what I do, gather data here on Nostr at least once a week!!

These posts in this series are my commitment to you!

These posts are my communication with you!!

You can read, comment, highlight anything you want. You can ask questions.

You can participate and even be critical.

You can support this by sending me sats! On another post I discussed what my sales target is for this year, and possibly the next 10 years in BTC!!

So you van communicate with me.

If you send me sats just let me know your country in the tag so I know where you are from. That is for me to know how many people from USA, China, Europe, Latin America are interested in the USA economy and want to understand it.

I will open source it.

Yes, once I gather the data I will open source the data on my Github account!

So there you will see a folder with all the data, all the spreadsheets and the python code I create to analyze the USA economy.

Why?

Because I want to decentralize the knowledge about the USA economy!

I want you to understand each formula and even build upon it.

I will organize online sessions to discuss the USA economy for the Bitcoin community.

If you are an employee working and saving in Bitcoin, if you are a small business owner having a Bitcoin treasury policy and saving in Bitcoin, if you are a Bitcoin Maxi, Tripple Maxi, Bitvoij Influencer, I want you to be able to dive deeper.

In the online sessions I will prepare a topic, I will prepare some scenarios, update the USA macro model with the latest data and share it.

Discuss about scenarios, answer questions.

You will see me running scenarios and discussing these.

Once the USA Macro Model is ready I will run these sessions every quarter.

These sessions will be paid.

How can you support this?

You can by sending me sats.

You can by asking questions.

You can by sharing this post with others, especially in the groups of people I mentioned above.

You can by helping me gather data.

You can by telling me about how YOU think the USA economy works. I’m here to learn.

See you in the next episode where I discuss the 57 indicators we need about the USA economy.

Runy