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Svoboda
cf3e65bc31d0c337a1b0194ab9a838630f3cd4234bc028da30287138832fbac0
Proud Sycamore alum, weightlifter, sports enthusiast, unapologetic pro wrestling fan, futurologist, and tech geek. All-Around Nerd. Bitcoin.

I’ve seen enough of these to know it will be more of the same. He never answers the questions, continuously launches strawmen or whataboutisms, etc.

He never comes into these with good faith or intentions. I’ll probably still watch because it is like seeing a car accident.

Muh #BitAxe is here. Didn't expect it until sometime in September so this was a very pleasant surprise. Now if I can just hit the #Bitcoin lottery...

If I'm not mistaken, the SEC considers HNWIs as anyone with $1m in liquid investments minus their primary residence.

I would assume this will push independent voters over to Republican as they simply cannot afford the risk of throwing off this cycle if they have any worthwhile investment portfolio.

Has anyone out there with a BitAxe hooked it up to solar by chance? If so, any guides would be welcomed. We get 320+ days of sunshine here in Las Vegas and want to play around with combining the two.

Personal? Doubt it.

Will MicroStrategy? Possibly. Got to remember he technically isn't in charge anymore and is beholden to the shareholders. Of course he'll spin it if they are forced to sell any of their stack.

The bigger potential risk or though exercise related to what it could do to Bitcoin is him getting forced out as executive chairman.

Replying to Avatar Printer

New solo mining pool in town! I've set up a self-hosted public pool which you are free to use, no fees, no nothing, just like the original.

You can find it here: https://pool.gobrrr.me

This was a great learning experience for me as I had to build my very own custom image of bitcoin using Docker to meet my specific requirements.

Couldn't have done it without the work already done by Benjamin Wilson.

Also thanks to nostr:nprofile1qqs936kc97s4k4gqjnmltljgqns0uadh08d77t5mypg3anxkneks37gpzemhxue69uhhsmtj9e6hxetwdaehgu3wdaexwqg4waehxw309ahx7um5wgh8smtj9eex7cmtwvq3kamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wwphhyar9d4hkuetjduhxxmmdhdhm8r for the guide who gave me the idea, I didn't end up using all of it, but the traefik config was very handy.

Can you share the guide you followed? Interested in doing a local pool myself when I get my BitAxe.

[August 15, 2024] #Vegas #Bitcoiners #Summerlin Meetup - 6:30pm at SG Bar - 9580 W Flamingo Rd

Current hot topics in the #Bitcoin space, tasty $BTC dip recipes, etc. We talk all things #BTC -- Come make some new friends! #lasvegas #vegaslocals

RSVP: https://www.meetup.com/vegasbitcoiners/events/302608482

Replying to Avatar less

An update on *liquidity* flows...

OBSERVATION #1: US NET LIQUIDITY (top half of chart) continues to be generally rangebound (chopping sideways: crab-like) since all the way back in 2021!

OPINION #1: US-based risk assets tend to follow US net liquidity over time. Based on this data, I would continue to expect choppy sideways (crab-like) price action for US mid cap, small cap, and micro cap stocks until the trend changes. -- If these equities make overly bearish or overly bullish moves in the short-term, one could consider making a short-term contrarian trade. 🦀

OBSERVATION #2: GLOBAL M2 MONEY SUPPLY (bottom half of chart) has officially broken out to the upside of its three-year choppy sideways range, and is resuming its longer term trend ever up-and-to-the-right. This longer term trend will continue until the dollar dies (decades from now).

OPINION #2: In the near-term, this resumption of increasing global M2 money supply is bullish for global assets... currently including megacap technology stocks and, of course, bitcoin. Based on past precedent, I continue to expect weak bitcoin price action throughout the month of August, giving HODLers a beautiful opportunity to stack relatively cheap sats in the setting of rising global M2. -- I do not believe this bargain will go unnoticed for much longer, with the next major bitcoin bull market beginning sometime between September and December of 2024, and probably lasting until 4Q of 2025.

Hope this helps. Cheers #nostr friends.

Don't know if you listen to Maller's Monday Mailbag pod, but he was talking about this last night and his working theory is that with nobody buying long duration treasuries, Yellen will eventually make Powell bend thy knee and the US will be forced to buy them.

That is when he believes the fireworks will take place. Thoughts?

Replying to Avatar Guy Swann

Why I think the idea of “superintelligence” and “AGI” is HEAVILY exaggerated or misunderstood:

Assuming we have Ai much smarter than the average human, smarter than the typical PhD (granted smart and “PhD” are not at all equal but for the sake of simplicity). If (or when) this occurs, this will not mean Ai will just be able to invent whatever we need or make all decisions better than anyone else. And I think all we have to do is look at humans to make this simple assessment —

• If we asked a physicist and a biologist what was the most important thing to focus our time and resources on, do you suspect the physicist would find something related to physics and the biologist would find something biological?

This points to the question of speciality. What an Ai is trained on will determine what and how it values things, and there is no amount of information that will make it perfect and forever aligned with the truth at all times. It will always have a weight toward something, because the question of WHAT to value for training and for dedicating resources is present at all stages. It presupposes that we already have the answer if we assume Ai will just magically come up with it.

• in addition, the answer to “where should we devote resources” isn’t static. It changes year to year, month to month, even minute to minute sometimes. It is a question of value and judgement. The only way to sort out this relationship is through trade and competition, denoting the **necessity** of Ai that compete and exchange data and resources.

• General intelligence is useful, but extremely inefficient. Generalists are great to have for combining and relating ideas, but specialists still down into the true details and do the dirty work of real building and fine tuning of the world. Specialization isn’t just an economic phenomenon, it’s a physical reality of the universe. It will be the same with Ai, because Ai doesn’t defy universal laws, it’s just a computer program.

— A giant, trillion dollar cluster AGI will not be as valuable or produce nearly as good results or decision making capability as 10,000 much smaller and specialized AI’s focused on their own corner and trading resources with others to accomplish their task or test the ideas or paths of progress apparent from their vantage point. Nothing in nature resembles the former.

• Intelligence isn’t an omnipotent, unrestricted power. Mental intelligence isn’t the only kind of intelligence. I think as humans we have become deeply arrogant about the fact that we are “so smart” and we have begun to worship our own intelligence in such a way that if we ever imagine something smarter, then it MUST be God and it must be without any limits or flaws at all. Yet there is nothing to suggest this. The “smartest” people today often have the greatest blinders on, and everyone is only as good as the information they have and the values lens through which they see everything.

While the intelligence explosion will be shockingly disruptive and revolutionary in many ways, and while I do see it as an extremely likely outcome in the rather near future, I think the vision of a giant, all powerful AGI dropped on the world like a nuclear bomb is increasingly a projection of our own ignorance and arrogance. It simply doesn’t hold water, imo.

Covered a lot of these ideas in the 31st episode of Ai Unchained:

https://fountain.fm/episode/98UjiXJsa1b2VusbQQur

Good piece. IMO, it's all about control and prioritization by those with it.

I was recently on a project team of a half billion dollar (and extremely basic) AI implementation that ended up being scrapped because of that. Those with the overarching control didn't want to cede an inch and ultimately blew up the entire thing.

I hear you. The protocol is still young so stick with it.

I think you're misunderstanding or sticking your head in the sand. She has had excellent crowds but instead of just being happy with actual photos from those, her campaign has been making them look even more rabid via AI generation.

For example, the Detroit tarmac photo. The crowd was large but the majority of the actual photos that were taken from the hanger had poor contrast because of the direction/light exposure. So instead of using those, they used AI tools to edit it to make it look better for marketing purposes. They've also done the same to fill empty seats here and there versus just letting the couple empties show through.

This is when you can see the malformed hands (AI is still bad with this), cell phones with nonsensical screens, etc.

All they have to do is stop doing this and it becomes a non-issue. The fact they are the ones doing it is what makes it an integrity issue for anyone with a logical/rational thinking process.

Here is an example video from Detroit. This is what they should have gone with versus the AI-edited photos.

Ex: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgF8AM0C4LI

Odd take. I think both candidates are shit, but there is plenty of evidence showing the Harris campaign is manufacturing media. If it isn't sticking, that is an indictment of their liberal base not questioning it.

What is the need for AI generated imagery, staged videos, paying influencers for social media posts and the like? Why is that what Democrat voters are getting over policy positions and discussions on improving American outcomes?

Anyone else not able to look away from the DNC coverage? I find it fascinating that several groups of people they empowered are now essentially eating their own.

Also knowing that nothing is likely to change on the Israel/Palestine front, the whole "DNC: Do Not Count My Vote" slogan will be interesting thing to track. If popular vote doesn't drop, we'll see it was strictly performative outrage.