https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
We appear to be hitting the "Reliable agent" section of the AI takeoff timeline. o4 is probably a real human level coder at this point if the Codeforces benchmarks are anything to go by.
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/04/a-note-on-o3-and-agi.html
Tyler Cowen is calling o3 and o4-mini AGI. If we’ve hit the point where LLM models can actually handle being set loose on a code base and doing useful work, the takeoff may really have started.
I’m not completely sold yet that this is it. But it’s the first time that it feels close. I’ve never had this feeling before. It feels like the beginning of autocatalysis is breathing down our necks.
nostr:nevent1qqs8fzev0txhrdnn4ec5wzrdxzuw87pmjgwjgt4lu30stfju0n6p0jq7e4qts
https://www.molsonhart.com/blog/america-underestimates-the-difficulty-of-bringing-manufacturing-back
Lots of good points here. One thing I hadn’t considered is that tariffs make it really difficult to establish manufacturing here. The cheaper option may simply be to do as little manufacturing in the US as possible and only import the finished product rather than deal with the complexity of an industrial supply chain and trying to import the intermediate products to do the manufacturing domestically.
Wan 2.1 is also quite good if you have a beefy laptop
Hmm maybe you’ve misunderstood me. I still think having a “legion” of children with different women is wrong, I just don’t think Musk isn’t alone in wanting that deep down. In other words, it’s not a rare fetish. Lots of men would do the same in his position. Does that change the morality of his actions? No. It just means Musk isn’t especially weird in this regard.
Definitely agree. True strength is not being a slave to your every biological desire. I simply think more men in Musk’s position would succumb to their biological urges if given the opportunity then would publicly admit.
Yeah lol no kidding, like why your cats are getting drunk and dying of liver failure after the eyelid update.
With that attitude you might consider Dwarf Fortress.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elon-musk-children-mothers-ashley-st-clair-grimes-dc7ba05c
I guess… it’s good Musks actions match his rhetoric on repopulating the planet? Besides that this seems like super weird fetish behavior.
Took a shower and rethought my opinion. I know a lot of people say it’s gross, but if men were truly honest with themselves there has to be an innate biological urge to have as many babies with as many women as possible. Musk simply lacks the moral system (religion, etc.) or the biological capacity (Asperger’s) to feel much shame. He also has the money to pay lots of women to have babies with him.
It’s still gross behavior, but I think more men would do the same in his position than would admit it.
nostr:nevent1qqs0w4cvxg35psxzhdr4zpzeyy0ju0q29pgua7x3adexhmjn4r7srugqs44qc
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elon-musk-children-mothers-ashley-st-clair-grimes-dc7ba05c
I guess… it’s good Musks actions match his rhetoric on repopulating the planet? Besides that this seems like super weird fetish behavior.
https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
We appear to be hitting the "Reliable agent" section of the AI takeoff timeline. o4 is probably a real human level coder at this point if the Codeforces benchmarks are anything to go by.
It looks like Grok is mixing up steam rooms with Finnish saunas. If you leave your sauna wet all the time at low temperatures (90 to 120 degrees is an incredibly low temperature for any real sauna) then yes you may have problems. But with a real Finnish sauna (not the steam rooms Grok keeps talking about) alternating between wet and dry sessions definitely does kill germs, bacteria, and mold.
That's why, for example, Finns would give birth in saunas because they were such a sterile environment.
That’s why you alternate between wet and dry sessions. You don’t need to worry about mold in a 210 degree box.
https://reason.com/volokh/2025/04/15/due-process-and-the-abrego-garcia-case/
The more I read about the Abrego Garcia case the worse it gets.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn5xx036p4vo
What a headline.
Not a good sign for privacy focused digital currencies like Bitcoin. People will choose whatever is easiest and government run payment systems are easy.
Stock market: Thinks tariffs will be bad for business
Bond market: Thinks tariffs make US bonds riskier than Greek bonds
Consumers: Think tariffs will worsen economy
US Dollar: Worsening against other currencies
MAGA: BuT tHe TrADe DeFiCItEs
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/spx/
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/us
If you want to be freaked out just look at the rest of these graphs.
Have you seen Bitcoin volatility?

Not enough people are talking about the fact that if the US has massive tariffs with other countries, there's always another country waiting to give them a hug be that rebound boyfriend after they've been dumped: China.
There's just a few countries left that have more trade with us than China and with the tariffs it will probably end up being just us and hopefully Canada and Mexico.


