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BOL
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Conspiracy theory:

poor and recent immigrants flee south

US has casus belli to fully seize oil sands and other resources by "securing" Canada

Unlikely, however, I'm trying to game out what will happen when the US SPR is fully drawn down and Canadians balk at increasing oil sands production after so many decades of being denied keystone/etc pipelines and ever increasing " carbon" taxes

Ok :), I mean it's somewhat understandable that housing became money--because folks sorta understood the fiat game. But, as Max Keiser likes to say:

You can't taper a ponzi!

This! Also, there is a demographic cliff approaching in most of the world, game theory compels countries to actually compete for citizens

Wow!! British Columbia is still locking un-pfizered HCW out, we're #1

This is an interesting one because information "wants" to be free... I.e. those seeking the truth can see proxy signs or find other leaks of information and signal can also propagate quickly in this hyper-connected world

Canada is an energy and resource powerhouse but this wealth needs to revert back to its people somehow, sadly Canadians are so indoctrinated into the housing cult that they can't see how bitcoin could preserve and reinvigorate their community, province and country

Replying to Avatar ZacG

Have you heard of the Japanese real estate bubble in the late 1980s? It was an unprecedented speculative frenzy. Prices soared, fueled by easy credit and rampant investor speculation. Japan seemed unstoppable, but little did they know what awaited them👇

In the early 1990s, disaster struck. The bubble burst, causing a devastating collapse in real estate and stock prices. The trigger was monetary tightening policies implemented by the Bank of Japan to curb inflation. The effects were far-reaching.

Property values plummeted, leaving investors and financial institutions with enormous losses. The country entered a prolonged period of economic contraction known as the "Lost Decade." Low growth, high unemployment, and stagnant wages became the new normal.

The bursting bubble exposed the vulnerabilities of Japanese banks. They had heavily invested in speculative real estate loans and faced insolvency as asset values tanked. Government intervention was required to stabilize the banking sector.

Now, let's shift our focus to Canada. While it's a different country and time, there are notable parallels. Canada currently faces a private debt situation that bears some resemblance to Japan's bubble era.

Canadian households have accumulated significant debt, driven by low interest rates and easy access to credit. This debt is primarily concentrated in mortgages, similar to how Japanese investors flocked to real estate investments during their bubble.

If there's a sudden shock to the Canadian economy, such as a sharp rise in interest rates or a housing market correction, the private debt burden could become a ticking time bomb. Just as in Japan, the bursting of the bubble could have severe consequences.

Fast forward to today, and we're witnessing interest rates rise at an unprecedented pace. The Bank of Canada recently raised rates by 25 basis points, despite Canada's private debt-to-GDP ratio surpassing 230%. This is even higher than Japan's peak during their bubble.

What does this all mean? While the exact consequences are uncertain, it's crucial to note the eerie similarities between Canada now and Japan during their bubble's peak in the 1990s. Both countries exhibit high levels of private debt and face tightening monetary policies.

If the Canadian housing market corrects due to interest rates surging rapidly, it could potentially trigger a similar chain of events as Japan experienced. High private debt burdens become unsustainable, asset values decline, and the economy faces significant headwinds.

What do you think happens next?

It's not pretty, moral hazard will abound

See also Ireland circa 2011... massive youth unemployment and exodus from Ireland after the national slush fund, NAMA, uses bailout money and garnished wages from PAYG workers to prop up property values at unaffordable levels

Money transactions are always "unethical" (in someone's opinion somewhere, no matter how obscure ;) )

#FreeRoss

Hey Stephan!

Thanks again for another great episode!

Tried to tag Larry directly but he doesn't seem very active on here... Wondering how Alberta oil "card" may be played now that the SPR is almost drawn down??

Canadian oil has been trapped by the US for years, not sure how it can become even more trapped but at first glance, IMO, oil sands production would ramp up and the spread maintained

Problem is that the moral hazard has been obvious for years , going back to esg and the long-term weaponization of the border to prevent keystone pipeline or any other Canadian oil from reaching the global market price

Cheers

Wut?! Really? I think CA authorities may be having their cake and eating it too on this... Pretty sure they have sweet preferential contracts for British Columbia power (BC also LARPS about the righteousness of their power use, recently put a moratorium on new bitcoin mines)

Where's that guy with butterfly meme:

"Is this noxious language?"