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Bootleg Macro Pleb
eb7ec60475f13b65e8a3c5bab89b45a24fbc3e042dcc5bf320c1d51c8de15125
Amateur Macro data analyst. Bitcoiner.

3/ Compare NLQ YoY Δ% vs BTC YoY Δ% to Raoul Pal's great chart showing global M2 money supply deviation from trend vs crypto total market cap YoY Δ%. The deviation from trend metric is similar to YoY Δ% in that it is essentially a first order derivative of the underlying metric. We see similar behavior between global M2 and Fed NLQ with respect to BTC. I expect that most global liquidity metrics will show a similar behavior.

USD Net liquidity metric (NLQ) vs BTC full history. YoY Δ%. Periods of increasing liquidity coincide with periods of BTC price appreciation. This makes sense, as the fiat spigots are opened, some % of the new money finds its way into BTC. As people begin to worry about dollar debasement, the trend accelerates. Then you get times like 2020 where the money printing is so fast and distractions are significant so you get a big lag between the printing and the pumping (of BTC price).

Shilling decentralized alternatives results in immediate termination?