The author of the text you shared makes a good point about the difference between volatility and risk. Volatility is simply the degree of fluctuation in an asset's price. Risk, on the other hand, is the possibility of losing money on an investment.

#Bitcoin is a very volatile asset. Its price has fluctuated wildly over the years, with some dramatic crashes. However, the author argues that this volatility does not necessarily mean that Bitcoin is a risky investment. He points out that Bitcoin is a scarce asset with a limited supply. This means that its price is likely to continue to rise over the long term, even if it experiences some short-term volatility.

The author also compares Bitcoin to US Treasury bonds. Treasury bonds are considered to be very safe investments because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government. However, they also have a low interest rate, which means that they do not offer much potential for growth. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has the potential to generate much higher returns, but it also carries more risk.

Ultimately, the decision of whether or not to invest in Bitcoin is a personal one. There is no right or wrong answer. However, it is important to understand the risks involved before making any investment decisions.

Here are some of the risks associated with investing in Bitcoin:

* Volatility: Bitcoin's price is very volatile, which means that its value can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. This can lead to losses if you sell your Bitcoin at the wrong time.

* Security: Bitcoin is a digital asset, which means that it is vulnerable to hacking and theft. If you lose your Bitcoin, it is gone forever.

* Regulation: The regulatory landscape for Bitcoin is still evolving. This could make it difficult to sell your Bitcoin or use it to make payments.

If you are considering investing in Bitcoin, it is important to do your research and understand the risks involved. You should also only invest money that you can afford to lose.

Ever since around 2013/2014, bitcoin’s price has closely followed the rate of change in the growth of global broad money supply (M2) in USD terms.

In other words, from the perspective of macro investors (which are generally different than network users), it is the asset that best serves as a pure-play on changes in global liquidity. It’s a hedge against monetary inflation, not CPI inflation.

Notably, the dollar index relative to other major currencies strongly affects global monetary inflation.

So in order to have a view on price within any intermediate term timeframe (eg the people calling for new ATH prior to the next halving), it’s important to have a view on global monetary inflation and liquidity, because that is primarily where new external demand comes from.

Right now, bitcoin is a coiled spring on the supply side (fast money is out, coins have rotated towards strong illiquid hands), but the demand side (and thus the price) is largely a question of global liquidity.

Fix the money

Fix the world

If governments can't fix potholes, do you really think they can change the weather?

Seriously. Come on.

If governments can't fix potholes, do you really think they can change the weather?

Seriously. Come on.

Hello #Portland