how do you run a deflationary business long term?
Discussion
I think it involves solving high margin problems and moving on to the next highest margin problem.
for low margin, like groceries… everyone becomes a gardener/bee keeper?
in cities, vertical farming; hydroponics;…
Smaller “big” cities … much smaller.
The current capacity of cities is incredibly overbuilt and the service costs are enormous. When the cost of capital goes up, the maintenance of much (if not most) of that capacity will be abandoned.
with falling populations too, that may even things out
I feel like price would just be set by the market above the cost of production. Maybe groceries stop being low margin because people need to be able to live?
yeah, makes sense, end of subsidies would change a lot in the market as well
I think this sounds like a portfolio company since you're talking about multiple problems but I think the formula is true. High margin, low cost business will do best. Also something that provides real value. That doesn't sound too different from today tbh
shipping is the bottleneck.
populist local business. small production. but some will inevitably be desirable enough to burst the seams. growth from there for them depends on shipping. the current shipping model is fascist. Not in the twitter name calling way, but the literal government/corporation monopoly way.
So the real opportunity will be in the decentralization of shipping.
we need a uber/doordash decentralized protocol
an gig economy protocol based on nostr.
When I was at the university I worked for UPS. I was always suprised by how many common goods would be traveling far distances. Like does this plastic broom really need to travel hundreds if not thousands of miles. Local 3d printing hubs seems like a natural progression. Untill the replicator is actually invented.
i fully agree.
👍
i cant write the whole premise and vision behind the original note with my thumbs.
i saw a rough outline standing outside a fruit stand on a sunny day.
i need to switch to a real keyboard….
I believe we are in a time with as significant a level of change as the Renaissance. I think the majority of the institutions are already dead, and their paradigms along with them. God told me a while ago, "massive change is coming. if you look at the change, you will see destruction, and will become fearful. If you look at me, you will see incredible opportunity."
I feel like new layers are going to emerge. Only a couple of which i can see.
The populist layer, or the local layer, is what im seeing. But on top of that there is an Amazon paradigm. But not of the Beast system. Something that comes out of the populist layer. That layer needs a local manufacturing Renaissance, and something that goes even beyond that, as well as a decentralized shipping system that cannot be controlled by a centralized State, which will continue to fight against what is coming for the foreseeable future.
Big pictures and abstracted concepts are very easy for me. Breaking them down to plans is much harder. I need... friends to follow for that.
It’s just straight up on Nostr nostr:npub1uvjysslc4djg8qn7xp09h8tlvxu7k7g65f6d9gmgxmeen8rkwegqx7d955 ✌️
Ignore all VC money, pace yourself for a long game & create local value are some of my recommendations ✌️