They predicted we'd all die from global cooling and then the climate warmed.
They predicted we'd all die from the hole in the ozone, but then that went away.
They predicted we'd all die from global warming, but the globe quit warming for the past 20 years (if you use satellites instead of the adjusted values), so they changed the claim to climate change killing us.
They predicted we'd go back to stone age because of peak oil and now we have more known oil reserves than when the predictions were made 50ish years ago.
Has there been one dread prediction that has ever been even close to true?
There is certainly a risk it taking current trends and extrapolating them. So your caution is wise.
1) failing to That would ignore the things humans would do to mitigate those perceived risks. In the case of the ozone, regulations phased out the use of refrigerants that believed to be a contributor.
2) and It would ignore the uncertainty with the trend changing with no reaction from humans due to our lack of understanding of the trend.
And I definitely don’t think it’s an end of the world scenario.
For what dread prediction has ever come true, maybe too early to say for certain but I would say the national debt may be one such prediction.
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There is certainly a risk it taking current trends and extrapolating them. So your caution is wise.
1) failing to That would ignore the things humans would do to mitigate those perceived risks. In the case of the ozone, regulations phased out the use of refrigerants that believed to be a contributor.
2) and It would ignore the uncertainty with the trend changing with no reaction from humans due to our lack of understanding of the trend.
And I definitely don’t think it’s an end of the world scenario.
For what dread prediction has ever come true, maybe too early to say for certain but I would say the national debt may be one such prediction.
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