1) Get blocks in date range

2) Draw bell curve of output amounts (sats)

3) Only keep outputs that aren't round

4) Normalize bell curve

5) Use hardcoded historic average to estimate USD price based on BTC movements of date range

Smart solution, and probably works well enough because buying patterns and size distribution is likely independent from absolute price!

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Discussion

What if multiple currencies are used at a 30% usage each? Like dollar, yen and ruble?