Bitcoin Game Show Time
You’re on a game show with 3 cold wallets:
-One has 1 BTC
-Two are empty
You pick Wallet A.
The host opens Wallet B…it’s empty.
Now he asks:
Do you want to switch to Wallet C? Or stay with Wallet A?
Drop your answer and your reasoning below.
No googling or AI. I wanna see how your mind works.
nostr:nprofile1qqsvn6daczcrcgdaxdap9h84k33af876l6yy4gfth9gvrqhfund7nwqpzfmhxue69uhhqatjwpkx2urpvuhx2ucpzfmhxue69uhk7enxvd5xz6tw9ec82cs34rz74 500
Switch .
Odds goes from 33.3% to 66.6%.
Please Login to reply.
Intuitively they are the same odds.
But no.
Imagine there’re 100 boxes.
You chose 1.
The host open 98 empty boxes.
Will you switch?
99% of the time you switch you will win 🏆
People mix up probability and possibility easily