It's amazing how GPT can help with tough questions and that will elevate many developers but it will also be a bit of an equalizer. The entry level dev probably profits more from an AI than the veteran developing with his favorite tools.
Discussion
Yeah I think that won’t remain the case for long and the entry level developer will quickly become irrelevant.
There is an argument to be made for more people “developing” though, but I don’t think they’ll be compensated for it.
I just today started my trial of GitHub CoPilot and the first 5 suggestions were wrong and pathetic. Guess if I ever need a `calculateDaysBetweenDates(a, b)` it will shine but until then, ...
I've been on so many projects where it seems like we go into it not even know what needs to be built. Specifications are constantly changing because customers don't even know what they want.
I saw a take that tech companies will be 6 executives, no developers, and AI will just do everything. That, to me, is a very highly regarded take.
If you draw it out long enough it may look something like this
1. Fewer devs
2. 1 dev
3. Everyone is a dev
4. Many more apps
3. No need for many apps
4. No need for apps at all - direct brain interface - autonomously developed, improved.
5. No need for real things other than basics
6. No need for humans.