Yea I'm with some of the others who have little technical knowledge about software and rarely post about bitcoin.
The main driver will be other networks shitting the bed and people looking for alternatives. If telegram is actually compromised then thats a huge cohort of people that don't even know they want Nostr (especially if communities get built out well).
If the censorship train had continued on the same track as it was under Biden I think there would've been way more new people on here.
Just give the various governments time, they will crack down on free speech harder and harder and Nostr will be there for the refugees all of their diverse interests