having spent some time on Threads, i actually think it will be successful.
its success though isn’t in anything that Nostr is trying to achieve.
instead, Threads seems to be focused on a conversation around influencers (celebrity and NFT promoters) the same way that twitter (used to) be a conversation around news and the journalists reporting on it.
in fact, this seems to be a secular trend of fracturing of social media platforms generally that probably has been ongoing since the rise of facebook.
where twitter used to be all-purpose, it’s now:
Twitter: laggards and Musk loyalists
Bluesky: journalists and liberals
Nostr: bitcoiners and cypherpunks
Threads: influencers (celebrities, NFTs)
Farcaster: ethereans
Truth social, Gab: qAnon, MAGA, xenophobia
i think this is the new normal for social media. RIP the general purpose platform.