In Ukraine the stakes for the geopolitics of the next decades are so high that none of the two parties can afford to lose.

But one will have to and it will be Russia, who already lost after the first three days.

The Western block won't back down, it smells blood in the water and this is a historical moment to seize.

For how long it's gonna last? Until Russia is gonna be exhausted. The war could very well last for another two years.

Another problem for Russia: the other world powers are losing their patience, Turkey, China and the rest will push for an end and the push semms to be against Russia.

And after the war, another world crisis is waiting just around the corner, there's a pack of unlimited anxious black swans there.

Long for a high inflation environment is the new normal. And #bitcoin.

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Discussion

Russia's defeat will be announced by CNN. Russia can't win because it doesn't own MSM.

It is a completely different question what and who will benefit from the outcome of this conflict. The U.S. has profited well on military contracts, weakening of European partners, corruption in Ukraine itself, which has now completely lost its independence. Russia has gained new territories, managed to get rid of European dependence and, as a result, is eliminating the military conflict at its borders. China has shown that the old world order has lost its power, that the West has lost the ability to resolve issues.

In the end, the fact that Russia lost does not matter, because it was not a game. It was just a military operation with goals too ambitious to achieve in three days. 15 years is more likely.