Any chance you can give an ELI5 explanation of those numbers?
Discussion
Better from people who know how to explain things. Am awful. I'll try to find some of the summary papers on looking at election stats. These an amazing guy frpm I think stanford who shows how to really do it properly. Should be easy to find as always trotted out when Putin gets elected and was cancelled on last us election. I honestly am not great at maths but I know how to download data and ask simple questions. First one is where do 19m people disappear to. Start looking through from there. I'll try to find one of the pubs on doing this stuff properly
Found it. Look up the finite mixture model. It's a question of trend analysis. To be honest, I didn't even bother. I just found data from both electionsand compared numbers. It's way to blatant so moved on. I saw couple of articles recently with finite mixture on Georgia elections. Did not look encouraging