I think the chances of any government getting out ahead of AI is nil.

They haven’t even figured out how to tax capital, without it escaping every time. They’ve been trying for 2,500 years.

So I do agree, it’s gonna be people who tackle this one.

I think it’s almost impossible for small entities to get sufficient data to train powerful models at the moment. But if the models are open source then small entities will have them.

We are 2 years away from having a personalised AI on your smartphone that knows personal information about you and works to serve your interests, you can shun this if you like but you will have a hard time competing with people who embrace it.

We will also have jailbreak versions of AI that exist on Linux devices. These will be easy to set to nefarious / malevolent tasks and bad people will do that.

Including all kinds of blackmail / fraud / threats / criminal activity you can think of.

By 2030 the world will look very different.

The threat level is going vertical and soft targets are going to get hammered.