Yes, progress will continue.

In the meantime, unlike videos and video games and other generated wastes of resources, decision-making software will increasingly become brittle and buggy.

Unintended 2nd and 3rd order effects from the rapid rollout of unproven vibe-coding processes will be silent until they explode in our face all at once. And people will wonder, “why the fuck did we just throw this into such critical systems without any vetting?”

Like the internet, computing, electricity, and all major innovations before it, AI autonomy will be driven by the bottom line: fiat debasement.

Unlike those other innovations, tho, this one can be rolled out in mere weeks. There is no time to vet.

The number of backdoors, data leaks, and straight up wrong assertions will have people considering abandon whole systems all at once.

I loved the advent of the internet. But has it been a net good for humanity? Privacy? Sovereignty? It’s certainly enabled commerce. We’re just now, with bitcoin, wrestling back control that we voluntarily gave to the banks and finance gatekeepers. 30 years later.

I’m not as optimistic. I don’t hate AI, just our usage of it with reckless abandon.