That person literally predicted the future, was wrong, and would be considered dumb by the definition in trumps post.

Success != intelligence.

I know plenty of successful retards and plenty of unsuccessful geniuses

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I mean success in terms of answering an IQ test question

What is your definition of intelligence then

You know things and can use that knowledge. Someone could build a nostr client and no one uses it, doesn't mean they're dumb.

I think the disagreement is semantics

A dev with enough intelligence and skills to create a nostr client needs to “predict” what the code they write is going to do in order to make the new app work

Them releasing it to the public implies they'd think people will use it...

I would say both categories of pattern recognition qualify as intelligence

Coding a working app

Understanding what kind of new app is most likely to be popular