A low probability event is not a black swan, which after all were abundant and long-standing where known. In your example you demonstrate our knowledge of the event and how likely the known event is to occur, in the long run.
Love your work, great to see you here!
Good point
Won’t see another one !!
saw a post on r/sipstea that reminded me of this. A guy who was declared dead for 14 min …. then revived, bought a lotto card to celebrate and won a car, then bought another one and won a six figure amt.
there’s a low probability or black swan event.
