China Morning Missive

For those following the pitched battle over AI, this update out of Meta is so very telling. After first deciding to prioritize an open architecture, it is now looking increasingly likely that the new team will shift to a closed model.

Quote from the linked TechCrunch article sums it all up.

“Top members of Meta’s new Superintelligence Lab discussed pivoting away from the company’s powerful open source AI model, Behemoth, and instead developing a closed model, reports the New York Times.”

The reason for bringing this shift by Meta up is given other developments in the AI space. There’s been yet another open source model released out of China over the weekend – Kimi K2 – released by a group called Moonshot (perfect name!). From the commentary, it would appear as though Kimi K2 has leaned heavily on the DeepSeek model. This! This! And This! The key feature of open source, as we here all know, is that you take what it is that others have created and then make the models perform better.

Competition in it rawest form. Demand and usage will only gravitate to the model that is iterative in the overall development.

American AI platforms are seeking a walled garden and I am old enough to remember how that turned out of America Online (AOL)

Chinese AI platforms see the threat posed by the American closed models and simply made the decision to commoditize the entire industry. Go big. Build strong. Make the American AI models obsolete in short order.

There was evidence of this approach with the launch of DeepSeek. Today, however, the writing is clearly on the wall. So long as the American AI players work within corporate silos, the Chinese are destined to win the global AI race. That fact is now far more evident than ever.

https://techcrunch.com/2025/07/14/meta-built-its-ai-reputation-on-openness-that-may-be-changing/

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Discussion

Remember when China just used to copy everything? That was called the shanzai model, everyone copied each other, but the part that the West missed was that they didn't just copy; they also made small incremental improvements.

Chinese manufacturers organically discovered and adopted an open source process for hardware development because those who didn't operate in the open got wiped out by the market.

An entire generation of Chinese engineers have grown up an an environment where openly copying and improving and sharing is the norm, and people working in secret is viewed as silly and somewhat suspicious, and doomed to failure.

So when Chinese see OpenAI etc going closed source, it's very confusing to them, because they know this approach is a dead end.

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Like VHS vs Betamax? The former bring good enough at a fraction of the price?

Just wrote another Note. Walled Gardens in a digital world won’t work. Meta and OpenAI will go the way of America Online.

Chinese think long term.

They have been subject to invasion, exploit and ridicule.

They've never cried victim.

They've simply picked themselves up, learned from the West and strategically used that knowledge to beat them at their own game.

Silence where it counts and action without apology is their forte.

BRICS is their crowning glory. Global factory, supply chain infrastructure, cornering rare earths resources, dumping American debt, and chopping down USD.

Note how Trump rants and raves and Xi Jiping ignores.

Arrogance vs resilience .

And BTC doesn't care.