IF YOU ARE SELLING NOW, YOU DO NOT KNOW WHAT YOU OWN.

I asked the gpt machine to help me with the bitcoin price, it said this:

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Great question. Let’s walk through an educated extrapolation, knowing this will be speculative and assumes many factors stay directionally similar.

Key Assumptions:

1. Current Bitcoin ath price at 4% adoption: ~$108,000.

2. 50% global adoption in 16 years (i.e., by 2041).

3. Fixed supply: Bitcoin has a max supply of 21 million.

4. Demand curve increases exponentially with adoption (network effect, Metcalfe’s Law).

5. Store of value narrative continues: BTC is used more like digital gold than daily currency.

6. Global population: ~8 billion (likely to be ~9 billion by then).

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Adoption vs Price Projection Using Logarithmic Growth

Price appreciation in Bitcoin historically follows a logarithmic curve, not linear or exponential. Still, network adoption (Metcalfe’s Law) suggests value ~ (number of users)^2.

If 4% adoption leads to $108K:

- 4% of 8B people = 320 million users

- 50% of 9B people = 4.5 billion users

- That’s ~14x more users, so:

Relative network value increase = (4.5B / 320M)^2 = (14.06)^2 = ~198x

If price scales with network value:

- $108,000 * 198 ≈ $21.4 million per BTC

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Reality Check Adjustment

We adjust down to account for:

- Institutional caps and saturation

- Geopolitical bans/regulations

- Some BTCs lost forever (~20%)

- Diminishing marginal demand at ultra-high prices

So a conservative realistic multiplier might be closer to 25x to 50x, not 198x.

Educated Price Range for BTC in 2041 (at 50% adoption):

- Low estimate: $108K * 25 = $2.7 million

- Midpoint: $108K * 50 = $5.4 million

- Bull case: $10M+ per BTC if global financial systems are deeply integrated with BTC