What is coming in the next 4 years for #Bitcoin? I have never known for it to have a bad time.

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40-80% drop from here. The USA fascism will actually help USD greatly.

However it will demolish free speech. So Nostr success is mission critical.

How did you come to that conclusion?

Same way I called the BTC bottom in Nov 2022 and it's top last month. Ignore at your own peril.

There is no top. What are you talking about? It goes up forever.

Do read charts? Or have an informer? How do you get such accurate predictions?

I don't have to time anything. I don't care about USD price anymore. I denominate in sats. You'll get there.

15yrs of charts. Again, ignore at your peril.

There is nothing that can help USD. It has already failed. The bottom is out. This is math. The dollar has never strengthened in my lifetime. I guess we will see.

idk man it usually just drops back to previous highs

What does fashion have to do with it?

Trump/Elon's fascist rise will actual fix the debt problems in USA. This eliminates Bitcoin's use case.

But that same fascist propaganda and censorship will consume Twitter, TikTok, Truth. Requiring an untamperable social graph: Nostr.

I am not a fan of trump or Elon by any means. Fix the debt? I don't think so. It's math. Too far gone. That's like trying to patch a hole in the ocean to keep it from leaking. I do agree about nostr though. Either way, we are in the right place here.

Nostr will boom. People are falsely running to Bluesky. When they realize it's a censor zone too, they'll flee from it too. Hopefully Nostr will be scale ready by then.

I think we will be ready. I kind of hope you are right about Bitcoin. That would give me more time to stack some cheap sats. I was already excited to see 80k Bitcoin again.

You get even more if you sidestep 40-80% drops.

Up to 5x more.

I would love that. Don't think it's happening. There are too many people ready to scoop up coins.

Bro, the Republicans just approved a budget proposal for this year that INCREASES the deficit by $320 B this year alone, and similar numbers for the following 5. And that's what's on paper. Reality will always be worse.

BTC is fine.

That viewpoint will be punished severely.

Which one? If you mean the Republicans being Republicans with the deficit, as they always have been (at least since Reagan), I agree. Their irrational spending habits will eventually cause a lot of pain.

If you mean somehow my point of view will be "punished", I don't even know what you mean. But in any case, IDGAF about the fiat price of BTC, except when I can buy cheaper. I have never sold one sat and I have zero interest in trading.

So I couldn't care less about what's going on these days, except that people on the P2P markets are unwilling to sell...

💯

Yeah. I think many people put others up on pedatals, whether it be one of a hero or to demonize them. There is nothing any human on earth can do to stop Bitcoin. It just is, at this point. I'll take the fiat lows as long as possible. I can never have enough. The lower the time preference the better.

We drop from here? Or there?

So you are predicting btc price will break below power law support line? I find that extremely unlikely but would love to hear your reasoning.

Just charts.

But Saylor's collapse will likely coincide. Huge downside pressure when he's force to dump his stack. (3% and growing).