It's more that white markets won't want to deal with the risk of tainted funds because of increasing regulation. Tainted coins might not be accepted or undervalued at other places for the same reasons. So businesses and people will either refuse them and ask for coins with "clean" histories. Or they will accept them for a discount.

I think Bitcoin/Monero were always meant to be black/gray market money.

I just feel more cynical about it and don't see how this isn't the outcome. But I rather have what you are saying be true.

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Like I said earlier in this chain I truly respect the privacy ethos on the infosec coiners. But I also have to look at “who benefits the most from this rhetoric?” Which is obviously the privacy coin holders who would love to benefit off of Bitcoin’s downfall. I guess I’m just cynical in a different regard.

That said, what you’re saying is not entirely baseless shit can get pretty whacky in the next 10-20 years as governments come to terms with losing printing power of currency which is why we’re having this discussion. I think everyone wants to improve Bitcoins privacy and find a quick solution like “this coin does this!”. L2s are going to improve, and users aren’t going to know the difference between kyc/nonkyc in 20 years bc it won’t matter.