The simple version:

Money has the ultimate network effect, and its core values are in TRUST, liquidity, and stability (not price, but supply). The value is not in payments (this has always been served by a million layers on top), wingdings, “smart contracts,” writing stuff on it, or the million other arbitrary “improvements” that a million shitcoins sell people on.

The “crypto” market is something that will consolidate over 30-50 years with the trend we have seen from the beginning. And everything that isn’t Bitcoin will slowly die, in my humble opinion…

ETH will be a particularly bad one. Their “staking” system for “security” is a disaster of permissioned, unreliable nonsense. Trust is the last thing they have built and everyone wants it for hyped up marketing nonsense that has no lasting staying power.

Want the in depth version:

I’ve covered thousands of hours of the history of money, network effects, Austrian economic theory, and crypherpunk history on my show, Bitcoin Audible

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Discussion

Back in the 1960s my predecessors tried getting wealthier by purchasing oil wells. Lots of third party risk, not to mention situational risk. But still, they tried even though they didn’t understand the risks. They failed.

I appreciate the “lone voice from beyond” warning the masses. However, the masses, or small groups of masses need to get scammed(someday I may be one of them) so that others may learn and the long chain of mistakes and mistrusts can lead to a better and brighter future for all.

30 to 50 years is way too generous, imo. I don't see 'crypto' (not Bitcoin) making it to the end of the decade. And good riddance.

Yeah I’m more thinking about the tradition to a full #Bitcoin standard. Shitcoins won’t be relevant for that time. I’m also counting this as already 15 years into the process.

🎯