旧金山，即使是最繁华的联合广场，也是50%以上的商铺在空置/招租。住房是经济衰退的主要指标。现在预计2024年下半年，美国会出现经济衰退。这次会有所不同吗？旧金山的一些豪宅，已经从高点跌去了60%。In San Francisco, even in the prosperous Union Square, over 50% of the shops are vacant or for rent. Housing is a leading recession indicator, and it's now pointing to an economic downturn in the second half of 2024. Is this time different? Some luxury apartments in San Francisco have dropped 60% from their peak.