Nostr Web Client

I often encounter people who reject everything that the "mainstream" is telling them. They do this because humans are partly pattern machines. We see a pattern and extrapolate it. So if the "mainstream" lies over and over, it's tempting to just believe everything they say is a lie.

But the reason all you hear from mainstream are the lies and the evil is primarily that your input feed is curated to bias for such things. You are being focused onto things that are not representative. Making statistical inferences like "it's all lies" is actually a bad inference because it is only your feed that is all lies.

Sure, there is enough data to day that Biden is probably guilty of corruption. But you should also leave room for doubt. Maybe Ray Epps wasn't an FBI agent.

Case in point is global warming. IIn fact, that is my litmus test. People who say the whole thing is a scam to have an excuse for world government socialism... they have this thinking problem. They are the ones who cannot actually find truth because they are relying on simple statistical patterns that don't represent reality, rather than going and looking for themselves at actual evidence. They are also the most confident and comfortable in their ignorance, which makes total sense. If they weren't comfortable in their ignorance, they might have discovered the truth. This is probably the underlying cause of the Dunning-Krueger effect.

The world is complex. Simple answers are probably wrong. Epstein might have killed himself. Steel does soften and lose structural holding ability well below it's melting point. The UFO pictures are probably reflections or other artifacts. Most people are not malicious. But many people are highly deluded. And the global mean temperature is increasing primarily due to more CO2 being in the atmosphere than ever before.

Feel free to disagree but this is not a thread I want to have arguments in. This is just a thought I wanted to put out there. And agree or disagree, I'll keep working to make gossip the best nostr client I can make it.

bitbuybyte 2y ago

Two things can be true at the same time. Global warming can and likely is real. (Human factors aside)

I think it is catastrophized to a large extent for control and power consolidation, much like the pandemic was. I think the dangers posed by that are greater than the data itself.

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Discussion

Mike Dilger ☑️ 2y ago

Yes I think there is catastrophizing, and that some political moves due to that catastrophizing are very bad.

For example, the fight against farmers.The root cause of global warming is that sequestered CO2 from underground is being pumped into the atmosphere, and vegetation cannot draw it back down fast enough. CO2 and methane from farm animals came out of the atmosphere in the first place, and if they counted that farming would be net-zero. But they don't count it because either they are idiots, or vegan activists, or hate farmers due to them being right wing, or something else I dunno. But it is clearly horrible policy and will cause poor people to suffer as food gets a lot more expensive.

S Stackmore 2y ago

All things being equal, is far better for humans and lots of plant and animal life for Earth to be getting warmer than it would be if we were getting colder. Warmer is even likely better than present. The idea that we can hold Earth in stasis is silly. What is the "right" temperature? CO2 is a factor but in my estimation somewhere between the 6th and 20th most significant driver. To focus on it in exclusion is irrational. This all said, yes, I tend to leave nuance aside because no one cares. Joke about global government socialism -- ha ha only serious -- it gets to the point and makes the story human. Yes the only proposed "solutions" to this "problem" involve massive coordinated policies that in just 20 years have gone from "let's recycle and be more efficient" to "you must emit zero carbon by 2030/50/whatever". Yes, you are the carbon they want to reduce.