banks won't die but will adapt, as they should.

people can easily ask for digital assurances on their savings (e.g. multisig), where in the past with gold they couldn't -- it was "locked" away in a vault leading to an easy path for fractionalising if the bank were to get greedy.

so there's money to made by the banks that play fair, which this new tech will force them to do in the long run. the one's that don't ...

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Yes, good point.

plus there'll probably emerge a plethora of banks (fedimints) so the market will decide on the responsible ones.

exciting time line for sure

i think it's more likely that we will see something like a controller that has a core of Ark with channels over Lightning and the bank will be Bitcoin and everything else will be a clearinghouse of tier 1 or tier 2 (as in, lightning and ark respectively)

the internet takes out the latency and complexity of banking and it can become a lot simpler

i also think that the single unified lightning network of today will fracture into multiple independent networks, it doesn't have the capacity to scale that big and if it can hook into a bulk clearinghouse scheme like Ark it will be a network of networks

#afternoonthoughts

sensible thoughts.

agree on the unpredictable layering of tech. the white paper didn't specify a lightning layer, then a cashu layer, then a .... so your hypothesis is a totally valid one.