I see three major *currency* blocks by 2033:

1. The US #dollar: fiat currency; backed by the US military

2. The #BRICS note: backed (at least partially) by #gold

3. #Bitcoin: the people's money

Most other fiat currencies that currently exist will be irrelevant or nonexistent.

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Discussion

Do you have a timeframe for these to dwindle to 2 or 1?

“blocs”

How do you see the BRICS running on federated Layer2 ? Simil or on top of Liquid ?

It remains to be seen.

BRICs will be back by gold in rhetoric and sure those central banks hold gold but it’ll never be an honest peg imo.

A very: “trust, you’re not allowed to or able to verify.” situation.

Agreed.

Who’s trusting who to verify those gold reserves?

This will definitely be a problem.

I’ve been long trying to envision how the collapse of 140ish supposedly “sovereign” currencies plays out.

I can’t see it happening, over years, without a complete disruption of the monetary order.

People - real, ordinary people - don’t just ‘switch’ to new money.

In my mind its 20+ years of monetary earthquakes.

USA cannot beat the CCP in CBDCs.

The CCP cannot bear adopt BTC.

USA to move.

BRICS note is never going to be a real thing.

Fiat money is everything about trust, and BRICS countries don't trust each other at that level.

PS: backed partially by gold is an illusion, as it also has to be trusted, as it's not possible to verify it.

Regarding trust between the BRICS countries:

What prevents them to print more paper than gold?

Exactly.

That's why that "gold backed money" would be just like any other fiat money.

Europe and Uk implode before 2033? 😅