Damn, that’s way more than I had guessed. 50%?!!! That’d be insane; no way there’s that much hash rate on the side lines that can be easily plugged in to play the lottery
Discussion
Who has that much dry powder to buy "special sats" from a 50% hash increase?
I should have phrased that differently, that's the absolute maximum that could possibly come online.
But the easily deployable hash power that comes on cyclically based on energy prices and fees will probably all be on, I suspect that's already something like 1.2x