Nostr Web Client

My Nostr predictions for 2024

Today marks one year since I joined Nostr. It’s been a crazy year, but I have a feeling that 2024 is going to be much crazier. Here are some predictions:

1. Nostr social media clients will become insanely good. By the end of the year we will surpass the legacy social media clients in terms of UX and features, making them look like relics of the past.

2. More lightning wallets will implement Nostr integration. By the end of the year Nostr will become a de facto standard public lightning directory.

3. The bitcoin bull run will bring more users to Nostr, adding more gravity to the network.

4. At some point, a massive new cohort of users will join Nostr. We won’t be ready for them. Relays and other services (indexers, media hosting, etc.) will struggle to support them. After some hiccups, the Nostr ecosystem will adjust.

5. With the increased network activity, spammers will return in force. They will be sophisticated and relentless, putting all of our spam mitigation services to the test.

6. Long form notes will become much bigger on Nostr.

7. At least one “other stuff” content type will take off in a meaningful way.

8. Nostr’s censorship resistance capabilities will get tested in a major public episode.

9. The AI community will get much more interested in Nostr. They will be attracted by the idea that open source language models, combined with Nostr’s open social graph and publicly accessible data - could actually democratize AI.

10. By the end of the year everyone - even the haters - will realize that Nostr is going to win.

11. nostr:npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx will accuse me of not being bullish enough.

Anyhow, GM ☀️ and Merry Christmas! 🎄🎅🏻

Ingwie Phoenix (aka. birb) 2y ago

> 1. Nostr social media clients will become insanely good. (...)

Agreed! Snort, Primal and Amethyst are phenominal and their futures look super bright!

> 2. More lightning wallets will implement Nostr integration. (...)

Question is... Custodial or not? I personally see Lightning's future with a lot of skepsis... but, might just be me. o.o

> 3. The bitcoin bull run will bring more users to Nostr, adding more gravity to the network. (...)

I sincerely hope that this isn't the only kind of new users. Would grow the bubble, but not help anyone else. :/

> 4. At some point, a massive new cohort of users will join Nostr. (...)

Mass adoption usually happens as the result of some form of panic move. I wonder; will Threads suddenly implode? x) Or will Twitter actually, for real for real no cap bussin PROPERLY die?! (im so sorry for that one. xD)

> 5. With the increased network activity, spammers will return in force. (...)

DVMs to the rescue?...

> 6. Long form notes will become much bigger on Nostr.

I hope so! Habla is looking real mighty. :) There are also a few specialized projects around blogging on Nostr starting to take shape - this will become interesting.

> 7. At least one “other stuff” content type will take off in a meaningful way.

Curious to see what this will be... I have a hope and a hunch, let's see which prevails.

> 8, 9

Pretty straight-forward yes.

> 10. By the end of the year everyone - even the haters - will realize that Nostr is going to win.

Haters realizing something? Uh... when has that ever happened, exactly? x)

> 11. @ODELL will accuse me of not being bullish enough.

Nah fam, he is too busy trying to fix his capslock... that is, if he is even trying. (:

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