Their numbers get revised every month though and they were adjusted downward for 8 months in 2024.
Discussion
Yes, and that didn't exactly help Biden/Kamala, did it? Nor does it now help Trump.
It's based on surveys, data isn't amazing. They are estimates. People lie, they get fired in the meantime, they move, and on and on.
Usually, they tend to revise down when an economy is shrinking in real terms, flat in flat economies, and upwards when economies are growing.
Here is an annual chart of the past 2 decades
