Replying to Avatar Felipe Fenton

nostr:nprofile1qqsvf646uxlreajhhsv9tms9u6w7nuzeedaqty38z69cpwyhv89ufcqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dstyku22 says bitcoin smells trouble before anything else. As BTC price goes down today, Trump makes a big deal about a press conference about IVF but yet a few people are talking about regional banks being in trouble again… Maybe I’m mistaken about the banks. Anybody have insight on this?

Regional (small) banks have a bit under 50% of the commercial real estate market. This market has been in deep shit for quite some time. The loans are written for much shorter periods than residential real estate.

Occupancy rates are down and continue to drop. Interest rates are up. When these loans come due the buyer will turn in the keys as opposed to being upside down. Has been a slow grind the past few years and under reported. Just one rather large piece of shit to hit the fan in the everything bubble.

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I knew the commercial real estate market has been in trouble since 2020, but didn’t realize the regional banks were the ones holding the bag. Fascinating. And scary. Gonna be a wild ride. Thanks for sharing!