Why did the markets dump? I thought 0.25 cut was expectations?

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Powell rose inflation expectations and the Dot Plots pointed at higher Fed Funds Rate in 2025 as originally priced in. The overall market which is highly liquidity addicted now needs to adjust for only 2 rate cuts. This will disappear sooner than they hope

Less stimmy cuts in the future. Got it thx. Makes sense the market didn’t like that. More inflation and higher rates, is this your base case?

They need to cut to weaken the usd and keep the budget afloat

Agreed, but that will be tough to do if inflation numbers are still elevated.

Yep