nostr will have the best tech and the most devs, people won’t be able to ignore that for long. other clients on other protocols will run into heavy handed moderation issues due to centralization of power, government pressure, and lack of user keys. This is the main risk I see for mastodon, bluesky and big tech, regardless of current user numbers.

As long as people care about freedom and building a sovereign presence in cyberspace, nostr is inevitable.

It’s possible most people don’t actually care about these things, but at least we’ll have the best solution for people who do. Those people are the coolest to hang out with anyways.