Just depends, QuEra/Harvard ran fault tolerant algos on 96 logical qubits a couple weeks ago, error rate going down with scale, that was a shocker. Round two from that team early 2026 (trying to scale gates) could be a good indication.
It's kinda funny, so many bitcoiners super bullish on emerging tech, gene editing, AI, nuclear fusion .. except when it comes to quantum then suddenly everyone turns Amish.