Replying to Avatar Dr. Bitcoin, MD

I continually over-estimate bitcoin in the short term and under-estimate bitcoin in the long term.

I have a big enough stack now that I can afford to be wrong with future bitcoin buys. From now on, I’m gonna be a buy the dip buyer instead of a DCA’er.

I’ve done very well with DCA since 2019 thx to Plan B’s model, which I no longer see as likely to be accurate in the future…but I can afford the risk of not adding 10-20% to my stack. I desperately want a cheaper bitcoin so I can grow my stack in meaningful percentages.
c2
One 9mo ago

Man I had the exact same thought last week. Coincidentally someone posted on X that bitcoin is simple to snipe, just buy when price is between 200 day SMA and 200 week SMA, with bigger buys closer to 200 week. Haven't done the math, but seems like it might be a good strategy.

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