Yes totally agree with all that. Particularly the IMF playbook. Where will the west get all its cheap food and materials ( resources in general). We think inflation is bad now, add to the current macroeconomic outlook a shortage in food and or raw materials as a direct result of nations claiming their sovereignty
The transition of power and the assertion of national sovereignty will be a turbulent process, no government or nation state relinquishes power without resistance or contention. The in your face of that is WAR.
Bumpy is an understatement
As a side note, In my view military regimes are unstable more so than a democratic one hence why I claimed it to be unstable.