Replying to Avatar supermass

wen zaps jimbo?

and yea I love this,

FWIW, my take is that the baseline of consolidation/channel-opens/hot-to-cold-storage-transfers/cold-to-hot-transfers/other-layer-2s will set a robust floor for the fee market which will then see spikes upward during times of global uncertainty.

Will be very sustainable at a minimum and likely we will have a trend of "blocks are too full!" rather than the opposite in the future.

timeline 10 years, we are accelerating
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jimbocoin 🃏 8mo ago

I’m sure it’s researchable. Like computing the percentage full blocks over time as a line chart. From the shape of that curve we should be able to reasonably predict when we’ll hit, say, 95% or 99% full by some sliding window (monthly, weekly, yearly, etc.)

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supermass 8mo ago

this sounds harder than that but it would be an interesting topic of research, might do some digging later on my own..

out of curiosity have you read the riot report from a while back? https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yzjZJB20A74vQb0-wey18VEELklme1Rq/view

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jimbocoin 🃏 8mo ago

Just skimmed it. Seems good. The charts look too volatile to use for predictions at first glance. Might need log scale? Hard to say.