This is precisely the problem created by influencers who tell you that bitcoin is going to the moon, generating false expectations. And since you haven't prepared yourself to live with the pain, when those expectations aren't met, the consequences are painful.

How could a mere mortal like me, much more backward than you think, predict the price of bitcoin two years down the line? Simply by analyzing capital flows and extrapolating, child's play mathematics.

I hope you get the idea: don't be optimistic just for the sake of it, analyze and accept reality, closer to stoicism than to the bullshit that some people sell about positivity.