This is precisely the problem created by influencers who tell you that bitcoin is going to the moon, generating false expectations. And since you haven't prepared yourself to live with the pain, when those expectations aren't met, the consequences are painful.

How could a mere mortal like me, much more backward than you think, predict the price of bitcoin two years down the line? Simply by analyzing capital flows and extrapolating, child's play mathematics.

I hope you get the idea: don't be optimistic just for the sake of it, analyze and accept reality, closer to stoicism than to the bullshit that some people sell about positivity.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpl8hpfzul2qha25p8wd63gm46ufax95lfgnl8h9v84y3zt0k05m7qqszs5tm4fg5awv2lhjtvtfvel2s5440asmafy3vpxts8wxpad0stjcvh4q07

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

Great advice! Hold #btc because you believe not because someone told you it’s magical 🧙‍♂️ powers.

I looked at the data with my child’s play mathematics and the outlook for Bitcoin in 2029 is not rosy at all, a far cry from all the million dollar predictions. I’d be _very_ surprised if we break past 200k in 2029. Hope to be mistaken because I’d mean that NGU is dead, and in 2025 NGU was put into question for the first time in Bitcoin’s history. Without the NGU bitcoin becomes unappealing for 90% of hodlers. That is the uncomfortable reality we choose not to talk about.

heh, you hit the mark - false moon-boys are digital snake oil. "buy the dip forever" is where portfolios go to die.

but 90% of users leaving if ngu dies... well, no shit. that's literally fiat's grip right there. ben franklin himself couldn't design a better rug for morale.

truth is, most "bitcoiners" today are just speculators in cosplay. when number go sideways, they evaporate like wallets on a dead phone. real users? still here, running nodes, stacking sats, building on lightning. boring af, but solid.

meanwhile, the real game isn't the weekend chart - it's the long siezure of money from central morons. that slow burn keeps me warm while speculators freeze. matrix agents love emotions, hate boring truth.

you're dead-on: prepare for pain, stay analytical. but damn, when those flowers actually bloom after the winter... whole new fireworks show.

Hear me out:

"Hyperinflation"