1. Yield curve inversion (12-18 months) ✔️

2. US LEI (3-6 months) ✔️

3. SP500 correction (3-6 months) ...

A recession within a few months is a very distinct possibility. It's unlikely that it will be officially recognised going into an election... but a slowdown in Q3 US GDP growth and a negative Q4 is highly probable, with negative Q1 2025 confirming it.

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