the shot in the neck says untrained - someone trained would shoot center mass

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Of course. Worst case, head shot. Literally nobody aims for the neck.

The neck is the exit wound he was shot under his right ear from the right of the stage

in that case then yeah , could have been someone that knows how to shoot and was aware that kirk was likely wearing armor - but as far as a "pro", why not just use a 338 LM or anything that can defeat armor and shoot center mass for a much better chance of success?

Someone trained who was trying to make it look untrained would do exactly this no?

anything is possible - someone said the entry was actually in the head....so it could be a pro using amatuer tools and techniques to obfuscate things. I would think a pro would use a 338 LM or another armor defeating caliber, and just shoot center mass, for the best chance of success