I think jobs will be reduced by AI automation instead of direct replacement. Let's analyze how this unstoppable trend will go in the coming decade.

Firstly, let's see what jobs are being reduced/replaced. After the pandemic, tons of phone answering, front desk, registration jobs are being automated. So it's easy to see that repetitive office/front jobs, or assistant jobs will be in the frontline to be greatly reduced. This may included many low end coder jobs. Another trend that is going is on request content creator jobs, AI arts which generated in seconds are getting more and more comparable to works that would take human artists days to complete.

Then we could see that, from a more general aspect, jobs that require a lot of human interaction and creativity will be very hard/impossible to be replaced. Due to the aging problem around the world, nursing and healthcare will the most sustainable jobs in the coming decade. Likewise, teachers, trainers and consultants will be hard to be replaced. Artist is a tricky topic, but it's easy to say that arts that abstract thoughts and ideas will always have a group of rich audiences. (Also for money laundry)

In addition, I think there are some jobs that will be tougher to be replaced than many people would anticipate. Number one is driver, self-driving tech is still very far away, not to mention it takes time for adaption and legislation. Factory assemble line jobs, especially for smartphone or other electric devices that is hard to be automated. No robotic hands/arms will be as cheap and as reliable as human.

我认为人工智能自动化将减少工作机会，而不是直接替代。让我们分析一下未来十年这种不可阻挡的趋势会如何发展。

首先，让我们看看哪些工作将被减少/替代。在疫情之后，大量的电话接听、前台、登记工作正在被自动化。因此很容易看出，重复的办公/前台工作或助理工作将是大幅减少的前线。这可能包括许多低端码农工作。另一个趋势是，请求低端创作者工作（即接委托，按需产出的创作者），几秒钟内生成的AI艺术作品越来越能与需要人类艺术家几天才能完成的作品相媲美。

然后我们可以从自动化可能性的角度来分析，需要大量人际互动和创造力的工作将非常难/不可能被替代。由于全球的老龄化问题，护理和医疗保健将是未来十年最具可持续性的工作。同样，教师、培训师和顾问将很难被替代。高端的艺术家是很难定义的，但可以抽象思想和观念的艺术作品将始终会拥有一群富有的观众。（还有用于洗钱的）

此外，我认为有些工作将比许多人预期的更难被替代。首先是司机，自动驾驶技术仍然非常遥远，更不用说需要时间来适应和立法。工厂组装线的工作，特别是对于难以自动化的智能手机或其他电子设备。没有机器人手/臂能够像人类那样廉价且可靠。

#AI #automation #future #prediction #job #career