Watching how BlueSky seems to be taking off, and yes, it will likely run into the same issue as Twitter, I am seeing #nostr not as a direct competitor but rather as an independent publishing and payment protocol.
The ability to create and receive payments without permission is nostr’s superpower. Much more interesting than a censorship-resistant shitpost platform.
Seeing long-form and publishing experiments like nostr:npub1yzvxlwp7wawed5vgefwfmugvumtp8c8t0etk3g8sky4n0ndvyxesnxrf8q and nostr:npub1s3ht77dq4zqnya8vjun5jp3p44pr794ru36d0ltxu65chljw8xjqd975wz have me very encouraged that this will be the future.