Lawyers will be the first casualty of GPT-4.
Accountants will be the second.
“[GPT-4] passes a simulated bar exam with a score around the top 10% of test takers; in contrast, GPT-3.5’s score was around the bottom 10%.”
Discussion
We need to wait 10 years for AI to be highly functional and accurate
10 years is a *very* long time…
The rate of change is increasing.
Those models are already incredibly powerful and will become exponentially better faster than (almost) anyone realizes.
From a business perspective, 10 years make sense. Look at most businesses. They rarely hit stride, become a force, get global recognition until around 10 years in.
Or, that’s about the window where the original business owner sells to someone who can really take it to the next level.
I can't wait for early retirement. 🌴☀️
Yeah so like… What do we do when everything is run by AI…?
We entertain ourselves in Nostr.
Creating art using AI, Memes with AI, and zapping each other 🤣🤣😋
Yup. Things will be very strange going forward. They already are.
We must embrace the strange 🫂
Yeah a lot of the billable stuff can be done by AI, about time the legal industry is being shaken up
What if BTC ain’t AI proof 🧐🤔🤯
“Hey chatGPT find me some weak spots in the btc protocol”
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I can't wait for AI to make humans completely obsolete in supply chains. It will be hard for the first generations mentally, but after this, together with sound money, people will finally be able to focus on becoming good individuals instead of just having a "career". The future is bright.
The only lawyers to survive will be those that transition into systems design engineers, helping build the automated justice systems of the near future.
Let's make them open, transparent, voluntary, and, thus, fair.
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LOL, no. They will be impacted - like every other professional services provider - but they won't be the first or most impacted, IMHO. Certainly key parts of legal work are more susceptible to AI automation than others, but that's not what makes the majority of lawyer's work
.. valuable. I'll be curious to watch, but I think there are so many other professional services that are going to be impacted more than lawyer's, at least out of the gate.
Wild
Lawyers could have fallen victim to their own paralegals, but for the regulatory moat they have around them.
Paralegals do most of the work on certain types of cases anyway.
Regardless, I love how you think on these topics.
AI can assist Layers
I don’t think AI will overtake industry’s in the manner we perceive that they will. Just because there is a technological development to make a task easier doesn’t me that the human capital to man and steer the tech is going to become obsolete. I believe a thought process like this is just one dimensional
Paralegals, not lawyers
AI is already implemented into sooooo many services we take for granted and that human capital has not been eliminated
AI is going to do to white collar workers in the 2020’s and 30’s what outsourcing did to blue collar workers in the 1980’s and 90’s.
We are woefully unprepared for what is coming.
前有iPhone4，后有GPT4。一场新革命呀。🤣
And physicians I wonder? Heard it scored an 85 on one of the USMLE exams? Seems only a matter of time before nurse techs put in history/exam findings, AI asks clarifying questions, the AI orders the tests, searches prior medical record instantly, collates all data and spits out perfect medication, lifestyle, procedural recommendations for most ailments. Doctors will be just procedural jockeys. Should Learn to code 🤦♂️
Holy crap. Is there no character limit on this? Love it.
What if the lawyers make it illegal?