my guess is you'll use a mixing wallet like samourai or wasabi which will end up being more than 3 transactions

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Withou Mixing. I'm going to simulate a P2P purchase on lightning, first wallet (seller) sends it to my wallet and then I send it to cold storage.

ok, that would sound reasonably easy to trace since it's only 2 hops 🤔

That's the idea, let's see how easy it is or not.

I would be curious myself to see how it's done.

I'm trying to figure out if lightning routing data is publicly available or if only the routing operator has insight into the traces.

Critics of bitcoin privacy say that lightning is not privacy strong but if only the operator has the information and I use my own node it might be untraceable. 🤔

that's what I'm trying to figure out.

so far it does seem that way and if this is the case, you'd have to listen to the network traffic directly and inspect it which is not am easy feat if it's secured behind tor & ssl, plus then you would also need to piece together that information (which arguably could be automated)

I don't know exactly how the lighning transaction is traced into bitcoin but could be worthwhile having a look. maybe I'll be able to figure it out