I am not fully convinced yet, but I am leaning to the idea that #AGI is very overhyped and that #AI is just an enourmously powerful tool considering these points:

1) There is a massive incentive for big AI corporations to spread AGI fearporn. The population will beg for regulation, which enables the corporations to monopolise the market by creating hurdles for startups.

2) There is a masive incentive for govs to fearporn about AGI, it makes people live in fear and buy into new emergencies, opens the door for UBI and makes people see AI as 'superhuman' which makes manipulation easier.

3) AI as we know it (LLM's) are just super efficient prediction programs. There is no intelligence. I believe everyone who is comparing AI to human brains or IQ is overhyping. My calculator can also do 50 times more complicated math than me, but that doesn't mean that it's intelligent nor that it has a 5000+ IQ. Its just a super useful and powerful tool.

My two biggest fears about AI are that govs abuse it for mass surveillance (Palentir like stuff) and that an unemployment shock makes govs double down on socialism (UBI / even more QE).

This means that in a fiat world AI is pretty risky, while in a Bitcoinised world it will be probably very positive.

Conclusion: We need #Bitcoin mass adoption before AI really takes off. AI probably isn't the problem, (big) government is.

Reply to this note

Please Login to reply.

Discussion

No replies yet.